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Models

To analyse its forest-based policy pathways and Climate and Biodiversity-Smart (CBS) forest management and wood use options, ForestPaths develops a novel integrated assessment framework, consisting of quantitative simulation models, as well as other tools and approaches. The assessment framework accounts for the complex interactions between ecosystem function, structure, society and land-use and management choices, as well as climate change-related risks and human behaviour. Our models note (part of the ForestPathsFeatures series) explains how models can help achieve climate and biodiversity targets in the forest and forest-based sectors.

Forest ecosystems

D3.1
Enhanced and evaluated forest ecosystem models

For improved forest biomass and soil carbon pool estimations, EFISCEN-space and LPJ-GUESS were enhanced to capture updated European forest composition and structure information, to include disturbance impacts and to better address diverse forest management practices. More information will become available in 2025.

Human behaviour

D3.2
Fully calibrated agent-based model of European forest owners

CRAFTY will provide insight into land users' management decisions and how these decisions are affected by policy and other socio-economic factors. It will consider how policy institutions monitor changes in the environment and ensure that they are in line with policy objectives.

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Forest biodiversity

D3.3
Biodiversity and ecosystem services model

The GLOBIO model quantified impacts on biodiversity, using biodiversity intactness metrics such as mean species abundance and local species richness, as well as ecosystem services. 

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Global impacts

D3.4
Recommendations for considering implications of forest management in IAMs/ESM

LandSyMM and IMAGE will assess forest carbon pools and their links with European and global economic systems. PLUM will consider key policy objectives. Wood demands will be projected by EFI-GTM. RCA-GUESS and LandSyMM will make high-resolution assessments of European biophysical and socio-economic impacts.

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ForestPaths' modelling approach


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Project coordinator
Dr Hans Verkerk
European Forest Institute
forestpaths[at]efi.int

ForestPaths (Co-designing Holistic Forest-based Policy Pathways for Climate Change Mitigation) receives funding from the European Union's Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Programme (ID No 101056755), as well as from the United Kingdom Research and Innovation Council (UKRI).

Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Commission. Neither the EU nor the EC can be held responsible for them.

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